Actual GDP, Development, and Actual Property Insights


Actual GDP of metropolitan areas rose 2.7% in 2023, with the “actual property, rental and leasing” sector contributing 0.34 share factors and development contracting development by 0.11 share factors. Whereas many metro areas adopted the nationwide development development, every area has its distinctive financial narrative. This text explores the financial developments driving these outcomes, specializing in the main metro areas in actual GDP development, the development sector’s standout performers over a five-year interval, and the highest MSAs benefiting from development in actual property, rental, and leasing.

In 2023, actual GDP elevated in 348 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), decreased in 34 MSAs, and remained unchanged in 3 MSAs, in response to the U.S. Bureau of Financial Evaluation (BEA). The information, which was lately launched in December 2024, exhibits the vary of development spanned from 42.9% in Midland, TX, to a contraction of -9.3% in Elkhart-Goshen, IN. Three MSAs—Ithaca, NY, Joplin, MO, and Longview, WA—noticed no change in actual GDP.

The oil and gasoline sector performed a big function in driving development in lots of MSAs. Midland, TX, recorded the very best development resulting from a surge in oil manufacturing, with the “mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction” trade contributing a hefty 41.2 share factors to the metro space’s GDP development. Moreover, among the many prime 5 highest development areas, 4 had this trade because the main contributor.

High 5 MSAs by Actual GDP Development and Main Contributing Trade

Metro Space 2023 Actual GDP Development (%) Largest Contributing Trade Contribution (Share Factors)
Midland, TX 42.9 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction 41.2
Greeley, CO 18.5 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction 15.5
El Centro, CA 16.4 Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and looking 14.4
Odessa, TX 11.6 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction 7.1
Wheeling, WV-OH 10.7 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction 9.9

Development Sector Development (2018–2023)

From 2018 to 2023, the development trade exhibited a blended efficiency, with 140 MSAs reporting constructive compound annual development charges (CAGR), 188 recording declines, and 5 displaying no change. States like Idaho, Arizona, and Florida emerged as hotspots for development development throughout this era whereas states within the East North Central division seem to have slowdowns on this sector.

Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY, led with a 14.4% CAGR in development. This increase was primarily pushed by the event of the BlueOval SK Battery Park, slated to start manufacturing in 2025. This three way partnership between Ford Motor Firm and SK On, a South Korean electrical car (EV) provider, is anticipated to be the most important EV battery manufacturing facility globally.

In keeping with a examine by the Hardin County Chamber of Commerce (HCCC), the undertaking is estimated to:

  • Generate $1.6 billion in development payroll.
  • Create 5,000 jobs by the top of 2025.
  • Require 3,100 further housing models to accommodate new staff.

High 5 MSAs for Development Development (2018–2023):

Metro Space CAGR (%) Common Contribution (Share Factors)
Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY 14.4 0.45
Clarksville, TN-KY 10.8 0.03
Punta Gorda, FL 10.6 1.12
Jacksonville, NC 10.2 0.32
The Villages, FL 10.1 1.23

Actual Property, Rental, and Leasing Development (2018–2023)

The actual property, rental, and leasing sector additionally confirmed sturdy development in lots of areas, with 209 MSAs experiencing constructive development in the course of the five-year interval. The Villages, FL, recorded the very best CAGR at 14.1%, reflecting its standing because the nation’s largest group designed for an growing older inhabitants.

Different MSAs like Jonesboro, AR, noticed vital actual property development resulting from proximity to Arkansas State College, whereas Austin-Spherical Rock-Georgetown, TX, benefited from a inhabitants inflow due to its thriving tech economic system.

High 5 MSAs for Actual Property Development (2018–2023):

Metro Space CAGR (%) Common Contribution (Share Factors)
The Villages, FL 14.1 3.6
Jonesboro, AR 12.1 1.2
Twin Falls, ID 10.8 1.1
Austin-Spherical Rock-Georgetown, TX 10.7 1.4
El Centro, CA 10.6 0.6

Go to NAHB’s dashboard for added knowledge and visualizations on demographics, housing market and the economic system for all metro areas.


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